Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrBPT0xb22a…2815 | No | 488 | 94.0¢ | $447 | — |
| TunSahur0x95d3…6eff | No | 105 | 91.1¢ | $96 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | No | 74 | 91.9¢ | $67 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 518 | 6.3¢ | $44 | — |
| 0xaba7…85ed | No | 45 | 89.8¢ | $41 | — |
| lulac1234560x0727…d1f4 | No | 41 | 88.9¢ | $38 | — |
| Descubra0x93dd…4ed5 | No | 36 | 82.0¢ | $33 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 35 | 87.6¢ | $32 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | No | 32 | 88.0¢ | $29 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 30 | 88.0¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 26 | 88.6¢ | $23 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 24 | 90.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| VAPAPORRA0xa3f0…5cd7 | No | 23 | 88.5¢ | $21 | — |
| newbie1470x7353…b6c5 | No | 22 | 89.5¢ | $21 | — |
| wheathershredder0xa859…c8f3 | No | 20 | 91.4¢ | $19 | — |
| Bilberry0xbf13…b91a | Yes | 174 | 11.1¢ | $15 | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 10,051 bets |
| yellowhp0x716a…e885 | No | 16 | 82.7¢ | $15 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 16 | 87.8¢ | $14 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| LJW10xbef5…1d04 | No | 15 | 93.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x74d9…7d42 | No | 10 | 94.0¢ | $9 | — |
| dandanteng0xd0fd…0ff3 | No | 10 | 89.5¢ | $9 | — |
| Bambusbunker0x0d10…a713 | Yes | 87 | 9.6¢ | $7 | — |
| kerbrerv0xfb65…2dfc | No | 7 | 86.6¢ | $6 | — |
| woff12365780xf41d…be3f | Yes | 70 | 18.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd66d…0884 | Yes | 56 | 11.7¢ | $5 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 5 | 86.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x27d7…ddc7 | Yes | 54 | 12.1¢ | $5 | — |
| onesmallball0x6bf4…caf8 | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Rupertuz0xfe2b…a481 | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | Yes | 49 | 10.6¢ | $4 | — |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | No | 4 | 91.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 8,204 bets |
| plnoweather0xa056…defd | Yes | 27 | 11.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x213c…fcad | No | 2 | 87.6¢ | $2 | — |
| d-m-l0x6939…e8c9 | No | 2 | 85.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x546a…1988 | No | 2 | 90.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.15 per $100 · 42,787+ bets · updating |
| kostyankr20xd91e…bf1d | No | 2 | 89.5¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | Yes | 20 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 18 | 7.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| stephaneau0xc0cf…4f1b | Yes | 15 | 13.6¢ | $1 | — |
| yy1996000x68ce…d0da | Yes | 12 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 9 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcaf5…41ab | Yes | 9 | 9.4¢ | $1 | — |
| o6igpzzrvtu70x531b…7879 | Yes | 8 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 7 | 13.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| VechnoMolodoyy0xa3f6…1326 | Yes | 7 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| testfor10x0400…f278 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tu32plweather0x7390…48ed | Yes | 5 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| m7dk20xf73b…10bf | Yes | 5 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | Yes | 3 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 2 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.