October 31, 2026

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?”.

1. §1This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
2. §2Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
3. §3An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
4. §4The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.