Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will South Africa win?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| p12520xf975…4354 | No | 20,000 | 95.0¢ | $19.7K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 352 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | No | 12,754 | 86.3¢ | $12.5K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 7,905 | 91.4¢ | $7.77K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| shyu50000xc24f…087f | No | 7,663 | 98.4¢ | $7.54K | — |
| RDLedger0x0e28…07c3 | No | 4,811 | 93.3¢ | $4.73K | — |
| 0xe911…3d4e | No | 2,995 | 89.1¢ | $2.95K | Losing−$5.97 per $100 · 58,705+ bets · updating |