Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will South Africa win?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| p12520xf975…4354 | No | 20,000 | 95.0¢ | $19.6K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 352 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | No | 12,754 | 86.3¢ | $12.5K | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 33,698 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 7,905 | 91.4¢ | $7.75K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| shyu50000xc24f…087f | No | 7,663 | 98.4¢ | $7.51K | — |
| RDLedger0x0e28…07c3 | No | 4,811 | 93.3¢ | $4.72K | — |
| 0xe911…3d4e | No | 2,995 | 89.1¢ | $2.94K | Losing−$11.29 per $100 · 87,077+ bets · updating |
| smithagent0x1d1d…f2df | No | 1,395 | 84.9¢ | $1.37K | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 6,411 bets |
| x20260x69a6…4b30 | No | 853 | 47.1¢ | $836 | — |
| topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95 | No | 513 | 85.3¢ | $503 | Losing−$1.98 per $100 · 35,437 bets |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | Yes | 24,329 | 9.1¢ | $474 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 16,314 bets |
| mouzsynapse0xa6de…256c | No | 255 | 55.0¢ | $250 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 1,776 bets |
| 0x9384…e025 | No | 251 | 59.3¢ | $246 | — |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | No | 214 | 97.3¢ | $210 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 55,694 bets |
| mishipolis0x7a5d…54db | No | 136 | 88.8¢ | $134 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 24,294 bets |
| 0x7e12…d0ec | Yes | 6,518 | 4.9¢ | $127 | — |
| royal1790xbb19…e7a3 | Yes | 6,123 | 2.1¢ | $119 | — |
| tradecraft0xde9f…d43c | Yes | 5,375 | 5.5¢ | $105 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 21,737 bets |
| nanir4880xe6cd…d3b2 | Yes | 3,634 | 8.5¢ | $71 | — |
| carelia0x3da8…be26 | No | 71 | 58.0¢ | $70 | Losing−$1.78 per $100 · 14,409 bets |
| GamblingAddict123450xeaac…d71d | No | 69 | 53.0¢ | $68 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 10,064 bets |
| SlickRick1230x277b…31fa | No | 69 | 52.0¢ | $68 | Losing−$1.83 per $100 · 11,523 bets |
| 0xb34c…449c | Yes | 3,197 | 3.1¢ | $62 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 2,842 | 12.6¢ | $55 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| takeormake0xa38a…821d | Yes | 2,158 | 13.3¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 8,612 bets |
| davidgriffin0xcf6b…c749 | No | 43 | 84.0¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x2d2c…00b5 | No | 42 | 35.9¢ | $41 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 9,932 bets |
| grandculp0xbb8e…08c1 | No | 41 | 69.1¢ | $40 | — |
| TuttyFruity0x49b6…d152 | No | 32 | 54.0¢ | $31 | — |
| Yackydud30x07bc…b413 | No | 29 | 85.0¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x2e25…043e | Yes | 1,333 | 20.0¢ | $26 | — |
| pengu1n0x8dd8…9a1c | No | 25 | 96.8¢ | $25 | — |
| KnightDasCapital0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | 903 | 34.6¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 105,819 bets |
| manbyka0xb340…d76c | No | 17 | 54.2¢ | $17 | — |
| Lookatthecreamer0x0c6a…dbaa | Yes | 718 | 16.5¢ | $14 | — |
| NotJump0xf1f2…8c8d | No | 13 | 97.1¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 49,464 bets |
| larry190xcf48…c857 | No | 12 | 85.6¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x82e7…c61c | No | 11 | 98.6¢ | $11 | — |
| Teleben0x5601…f8c4 | No | 10 | 97.1¢ | $10 | New69 settled bets |
| Notradecopy0x5213…6a35 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 9,972 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Yes | 500 | 44.9¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| Dayaji0x3483…4637 | Yes | 426 | 3.2¢ | $8 | — |
| RKDZ880x2195…bce2 | Yes | 386 | 6.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Yosooooooo0xcccb…8590 | Yes | 335 | 36.2¢ | $7 | — |
| ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319 | Yes | 328 | 48.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.24 per $100 · 109,548 bets |
| pupailupa0x2a9a…10ff | No | 6 | 88.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 675 bets |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | Yes | 280 | 14.1¢ | $5 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 268 | 2.5¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 7,403 bets |
| Keng.sweet0xa48c…3093 | No | 5 | 94.3¢ | $5 | — |
| fundsaresafu0xb6a5…a4b2 | Yes | 205 | 47.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 4 | 82.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| unkrak0xa662…4823 | Yes | 120 | 13.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0cab…97c9 | No | 2 | 88.5¢ | $2 | — |
| doglover45710x67af…61ee | Yes | 111 | 48.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 82,899 bets |
| z3x-cz0xf091…ab77 | No | 2 | 95.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8aaa…9fc7 | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xff57…5f35 | Yes | 97 | 16.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1a05…4ac3 | Yes | 96 | 57.2¢ | $2 | — |
| AhghastBog0x1d13…3c2f | No | 2 | 45.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 1,309 bets |
| misty19670x0d61…40ab | Yes | 77 | 13.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 65 | 4.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| Malomoriquamfeudari0xc488…3f68 | Yes | 59 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0659…d74d | No | 1 | 45.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 4,657 bets |
| 0xcb57…482e | Yes | 49 | 56.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Abdullah90940xe8ab…bde7 | Yes | 46 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| lauren790x73d5…ddeb | Yes | 40 | 52.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Jagadeeshkumar0x14fa…00a5 | Yes | 38 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| EmotionalTradoor0xbe57…53c6 | Yes | 34 | 16.7¢ | $1 | — |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | Yes | 30 | 17.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.30 per $100 · 57,368 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 30 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| ayyuu0x8603…394f | Yes | 29 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Yes | 23 | 42.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| davigrulke0x5060…d1cb | Yes | 22 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| blessed4life0xb9dd…ca07 | Yes | 20 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| zuihouyici0x8e1f…67ca | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 20 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x43fe…26ee | Yes | 20 | 48.2¢ | $0 | — |
| skipper450x3fc5…b7df | Yes | 19 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x47ec…02a6 | Yes | 18 | 56.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.34 per $100 · 591 bets |
| LEBRONOFPREDICTIONS0x6a0e…cded | Yes | 17 | 44.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 5,782 bets |
| HorrogMan0x6c4b…4aec | Yes | 13 | 40.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sono03130x34bb…2fe1 | Yes | 12 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| amit70x5d5f…e612 | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 499 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.