Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Australia win?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kopeikin18480x204f…1c65 | Yes | 3,178 | 49.0¢ | $2.7K | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 1,504 | 65.0¢ | $1.28K | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 33,698 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Mohammad4630x079a…d3df |
| Yes |
| 1,000 |
| 63.2¢ |
| $850 |
| — |
| grandculp0xbb8e…08c1 | Yes | 487 | 46.8¢ | $414 | — |
| takeormake0xa38a…821d | No | 2,439 | 36.5¢ | $366 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 8,593 bets |
| RKDZ880x2195…bce2 | Yes | 386 | 64.0¢ | $328 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
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