Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Australia win?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kopeikin18480x204f…1c65 | Yes | 3,178 | 49.0¢ | $2.69K | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 1,504 | 65.0¢ | $1.27K | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 33,698 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Mohammad4630x079a…d3df |
| Yes |
| 1,000 |
| 63.2¢ |
| $845 |
| — |
| grandculp0xbb8e…08c1 | Yes | 487 | 46.8¢ | $412 | — |
| takeormake0xa38a…821d | No | 2,439 | 36.5¢ | $378 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 8,612 bets |
| RKDZ880x2195…bce2 | Yes | 386 | 64.0¢ | $326 | — |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | Yes | 360 | 66.2¢ | $304 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 16,314 bets |
| NotJump0xf1f2…8c8d | Yes | 319 | 83.8¢ | $270 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 49,464 bets |
| KnightDasCapital0xadfb…c2ef | No | 1,384 | 53.0¢ | $214 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 105,819 bets |
| Billie49300x6acd…07ba | Yes | 232 | 64.3¢ | $196 | — |
| smithagent0x1d1d…f2df | Yes | 227 | 64.2¢ | $191 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 6,411 bets |
| 0x9384…e025 | Yes | 225 | 59.3¢ | $190 | — |
| topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | 219 | 47.9¢ | $185 | Losing−$1.98 per $100 · 35,437 bets |
| OGPunter0x6e78…20a8 | No | 1,109 | 39.9¢ | $172 | — |
| Batmanwing0xf0be…8d08 | Yes | 200 | 70.5¢ | $169 | — |
| Swiss-Tony0x304f…2456 | No | 934 | 42.9¢ | $145 | New7 settled bets |
| Yosooooooo0xcccb…8590 | Yes | 156 | 65.1¢ | $132 | — |
| fouc0x404a…575d | Yes | 150 | 70.0¢ | $127 | Proven+$4.82 per $100 · 771 bets |
| amit70x5d5f…e612 | Yes | 140 | 59.6¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 499 bets |
| 0xd4bc…6c1b | Yes | 120 | 57.5¢ | $101 | — |
| HeWho-REMAINS0x7b52…0db3 | Yes | 116 | 85.0¢ | $98 | — |
| SiyaRAM0xa073…652d | Yes | 111 | 90.4¢ | $94 | — |
| sandy23140x73d5…74c8 | Yes | 100 | 53.7¢ | $85 | — |
| tradecraft0xde9f…d43c | No | 533 | 45.0¢ | $83 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 21,737 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | No | 500 | 53.1¢ | $77 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 462 | 49.1¢ | $72 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| Sur3450x22f3…6c94 | Yes | 83 | 58.2¢ | $70 | — |
| 0x3786…439a | Yes | 82 | 48.5¢ | $69 | — |
| 0x82e7…c61c | Yes | 74 | 88.2¢ | $63 | — |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | 67 | 83.9¢ | $57 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 55,694 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 54 | 50.7¢ | $46 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| M1238880xbf49…b4a5 | No | 237 | 64.4¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x2929…9266 | Yes | 42 | 47.2¢ | $36 | — |
| doglover45710x67af…61ee | No | 206 | 51.2¢ | $32 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 82,899 bets |
| FRANK.THE.TANK0x51f7…ae1f | No | 196 | 37.9¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 4,806 bets |
| mishipolis0x7a5d…54db | No | 190 | 41.1¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 24,294 bets |
| 0xe911…3d4e | No | 121 | 45.4¢ | $19 | Losing−$11.29 per $100 · 87,077+ bets · updating |
| lomkju0xabd3…dde7 | Yes | 21 | 48.2¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x312d…6814 | No | 112 | 38.3¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,326 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 20 | 58.2¢ | $17 | — |
| Dreamwire0x40a7…ecb7 | No | 100 | 20.0¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 10,966 bets |
| jacquesmh0xe024…0762 | No | 100 | 56.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x5d55…9b47 | Yes | 18 | 56.2¢ | $15 | — |
| mouzsynapse0xa6de…256c | Yes | 18 | 45.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 1,776 bets |
| Shisuiuchiha20xd04a…7cff | Yes | 18 | 64.2¢ | $15 | — |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Yes | 15 | 51.0¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| joblesskid0xbb42…76a5 | Yes | 15 | 63.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Najeebakanoni0x8227…f436 | Yes | 15 | 86.6¢ | $12 | — |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | No | 79 | 52.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$5.30 per $100 · 57,368 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 79 | 55.1¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| HorrogMan0x6c4b…4aec | Yes | 13 | 40.0¢ | $11 | — |
| zgcdwf010xa5e8…16eb | Yes | 12 | 90.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.08 per $100 · 3,519 bets |
| lydial05710x6a7b…a65c | No | 65 | 45.3¢ | $10 | — |
| DrDre130xdd2c…2825 | Yes | 11 | 87.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xe1cf…72d4 | Yes | 11 | 90.4¢ | $9 | — |
| openspider0x5158…50eb | Yes | 11 | 87.6¢ | $9 | — |
| yenomarket0x1a0a…f528 | Yes | 11 | 48.7¢ | $9 | — |
| Test.us3r0xcf70…01ce | Yes | 10 | 50.2¢ | $9 | — |
| aks78180xd3f8…1604 | Yes | 10 | 53.2¢ | $8 | — |
| EZEDUBBZ0x29a6…699d | No | 50 | 40.6¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 565 bets |
| 10sp0x9951…72ff | Yes | 8 | 62.2¢ | $7 | — |
| pengu1n0x8dd8…9a1c | No | 35 | 41.6¢ | $5 | — |
| LEBRONOFPREDICTIONS0x6a0e…cded | No | 29 | 50.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 5,782 bets |
| Abhinav25090xc989…2c57 | Yes | 5 | 55.0¢ | $4 | — |
| was930x377e…d43e | No | 17 | 60.2¢ | $3 | — |
| renzent0x4c86…6993 | No | 15 | 14.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 5,488 bets |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0 | No | 5 | 42.2¢ | $1 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
|