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Topic · Crypto
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.2% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 81 days
Proven traders lean No on December 31, 2026 · 2 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No on December 31, 2026 | $126.0K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:32 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No on December 31, 2026 |
| $85.1K |
| Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No on December 31, 2026 | $54.0K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No on December 31, 2026 | $49.1K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No on December 31, 2026 | $48.1K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 251 bets |
| HAOI0x6666…db92 | No on December 31, 2026 | $30.7K | New24 bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No on December 31, 2026 | $16.3K | Losing−$2.13 per $100 · 270 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No on December 31, 2026 | $16.1K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| datamint0xddf0…119b | No on December 31, 2026 | $13.9K | New96 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No on December 31, 2026 | $11.7K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No on December 31, 2026 | $11.6K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| dtdctr0xe0d3…13d7 | December 31, 2026 | $11.1K | New26 bets |
| singaporesling0xfa8f…d61b | No on December 31, 2026 | $10.8K | Losing−$19.40 per $100 · 617 bets |
| baojuhua0x7bc7…3976 | No on December 31, 2026 | $10.2K | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 108 bets |
| kreere0x5d13…cb62 | No on December 31, 2026 | $8.8K | New10 bets |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No on December 31, 2026 | $8.6K | New52 bets |
| wttg0xdf25…3b7f | No on December 31, 2026 | $8.5K | New64 bets |
| choohkz230x10fb…c66c | No on December 31, 2026 | $5.9K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 1,027 bets |
| Nik-0x9e80…f694 | No on December 31, 2026 | $5.5K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 2,529 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No on December 31, 2026 | $4.7K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| EricaXBT0x7383…bd0b | No on December 31, 2026 | $4.7K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 219 bets |
| apenator0xe25e…9861 | December 31, 2026 | $4.7K | New43 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | December 31, 2026 | $2.3K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| Eargherah0x30aa…2bdd | December 31, 2026 | $1.6K | Losing−$15.77 per $100 · 150 bets |
| I-want-Hermes0x58f5…be7b | December 31, 2026 | $1.5K | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 168 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.