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Topic · Politics
4 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.5% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 4
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
Proven traders lean December 31, 2028 · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 4 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | No on December 31, 2027 | $1.25M | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,116 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:32 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| JambonMogettes0x7923…6c0b |
| December 31, 2027 |
| $123.5K |
| New92 bets |
| Fulgurator0x0130…274c | No on December 31, 2026 | $13.7K | New88 bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | No on December 31, 2026 | $11.8K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No on December 31, 2028 | $9.5K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | December 31, 2028 | $5.5K | Proven+$14.71 per $100 · 249 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No on December 31, 2028 | $4.7K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,286 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | December 31, 2027 | $4.7K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | December 31, 2027 | $4.7K | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 931 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No on June 30, 2027 | $3.8K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| Isekai0xc607…6b29 | No on December 31, 2028 | $3.7K | Break-even+$0.64 per $100 · 242 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No on December 31, 2028 | $2.6K | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| yen4u0xf0d5…c665 | No on December 31, 2028 | $2.5K | Losing−$5.26 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | December 31, 2028 | $1.8K | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No on December 31, 2028 | $1.5K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,107 bets |
| Ox81De0770551cA28Dc0Dc7fa148406D40BdfC20d40x81de…20d4 | No on December 31, 2027 | $1.3K | Losing−$10.79 per $100 · 404 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | December 31, 2028 | $1.2K | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No on June 30, 2027 | $1.2K | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | December 31, 2028 | $1.1K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| MemeDream0x6747…a64f | No on December 31, 2027 | $996 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 744 bets |
| kinderSman0xa6d9…fd2f | No on December 31, 2026 | $978 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 842 bets |
| Odin.Valhal0xdd0d…17b6 | No on December 31, 2026 | $978 | New79 bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No on June 30, 2027 | $970 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No on December 31, 2026 | $719 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| Slowroasted0xc30c…6509 | No on December 31, 2026 | $682 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 5,633 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.