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Topic · Politics
60 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 60
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 29
in 48 days
Proven traders lean Hsu Shu-hua · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 6 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIAAA0x3e44…6aa6 | Cheng Chao-fang | $1.4K | – |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:27 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No on Cheng Chao-fang |
| $1.3K |
| Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| blacksilver0xe312…4a76 | No on Hsu Hsin-ying | $634 | – |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No on Hsu Hsin-ying | $619 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Hsu Shu-hua | $389 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No on Cheng Chao-fang | $202 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | Cheng Chao-fang | $192 | – |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | Hsu Hsin-ying | $129 | – |
| CreamCream12150x01ce…27a2 | Cheng Chao-fang | $123 | – |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Hsu Hsin-ying | $121 | – |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Hsu Shu-hua | $118 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| Permanent-revolution0xdbc5…4d5f | Hsu Hsin-ying | $97 | – |
| 0x85d3…ae6f | Cheng Chao-fang | $71 | – |
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | Hsu Hsin-ying | $65 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No on Hsu Hsin-ying | $61 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Hsu Hsin-ying | $58 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No on Hsu Hsin-ying | $50 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| goask0x1cea…f32a | Cheng Chao-fang | $38 | – |
| 0x267d…454f | Cheng Chao-fang | $35 | – |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | Cheng Chao-fang | $35 | – |
| ChiangWan-an0x0d5e…5c24 | Hsu Hsin-ying | $29 | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 1,861 bets |
| sanmos1110x8a57…0358 | No on Hsu Hsin-ying | $26 | – |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No on Hsu Hsin-ying | $22 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No on Cheng Chao-fang | $21 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| Luck10310xa8b8…b102 | Cheng Chao-fang | $18 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.