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Topic · Politics
24 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
3 · 24
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 26
in 14 days
Proven traders lean Flavio Bolsonaro · 2 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 6 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $5.3K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:28 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Y51500x36e8…2070 |
| Lula |
| $4.4K |
| – |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $2.2K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $1.1K | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $773 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No on Lula | $575 | – |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No on Lula | $559 | – |
| efflo-polka0x4dd5…41dc | Flavio Bolsonaro | $492 | – |
| 0x0fca…90de | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $488 | New96 bets |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $455 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 473 bets |
| estuprador0x22c2…9d56 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $429 | – |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Lula | $395 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| ganzarolli0xa236…4cbb | Flavio Bolsonaro | $333 | – |
| 0x39aa…583c | Flavio Bolsonaro | $276 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,696 bets |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $254 | – |
| Mandalorec0x039b…9b6c | Flavio Bolsonaro | $240 | – |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $230 | – |
| 0xf5e4…471a | Flavio Bolsonaro | $203 | – |
| Betocantu0x2e59…f95d | Flavio Bolsonaro | $195 | – |
| poroselvagem0x22b0…c0f4 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $172 | – |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $167 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| 0x16c7…22cd | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $162 | – |
| WalterWhiteW0xfacc…14f1 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $158 | – |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $158 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe | Flavio Bolsonaro | $156 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.