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Topic · Politics
16 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 16
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 26
in 14 days
Proven traders lean Flavio Bolsonaro · 2 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 4 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $3.8K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:07 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Flavio Bolsonaro |
| $489 |
| – |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $448 | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| Abdoulay0x59d7…ba8e | Flavio Bolsonaro | $340 | – |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $235 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $106 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| Marco27250x012b…4745 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $65 | – |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No on Lula | $62 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622 bets |
| afonsoo0030x0c3d…f757 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $49 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,961 bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $32 | – |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No on Lula | $28 | – |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $21 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969 bets |
| vxseven0xd4f2…dcb2 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $21 | – |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Flavio Bolsonaro | $20 | – |
| ragalita0xd56c…12b4 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $20 | – |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $18 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No on Lula | $13 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,457 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $12 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957 bets |
| iusnaturale0xbd06…a6f5 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $10 | – |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $9 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0xabb9…2b63 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $7 | – |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $5 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629 bets |
| Godzilla10x9561…0570 | Lula | $5 | – |
| avkppa180evo0x63da…586b | Flavio Bolsonaro | $5 | Losing−$2.90 per $100 · 585 bets |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | Flavio Bolsonaro | $5 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.