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Topic · Politics
8 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 8
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 26
in 13 days
Proven traders lean Flavio Bolsonaro · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 2 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $1.1K | Proven+$7.43 per $100 · 579 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:45 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Musk50x1229…df38 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro |
| $375 |
| Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $153 | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| Abdoulay0x59d7…ba8e | Flavio Bolsonaro | $125 | – |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $69 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 571 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No on Lula | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $6 | – |
| jc8wupvy5r560x7919…ee88 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $3 | – |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $2 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $2 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,218 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $2 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000 bets |
| 0x1b4d…c84e | Flavio Bolsonaro | $1 | – |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $1 | Losing−$6.79 per $100 · 2,180 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $1 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 18,514 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $0 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Lula | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,919 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $0 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,078 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Lula | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Lula | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Lula | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Lula | $0 | – |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Lula | $0 | Positive+$5.71 per $100 · 58,762 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $0 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.