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Topic · Politics
8 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 8
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 26
in 13 days
Proven traders lean No on Lula · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 2 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | No on Lula | $428 | Proven+$7.43 per $100 · 579 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:28 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro |
| $340 |
| Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $147 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Flavio Bolsonaro | $58 | New96 bets |
| afonsoo0030x0c3d…f757 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $20 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,961 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Flavio Bolsonaro | $12 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,001 bets |
| avkppa180evo0x63da…586b | Flavio Bolsonaro | $10 | Losing−$4.11 per $100 · 636 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Flavio Bolsonaro | $9 | – |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $3 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $3 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $3 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $1 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No on Flavio Bolsonaro | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Lula | $1 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Lula | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 44444444ben0xc876…8711 | Lula | $0 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.