Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dv-pm0x56ac…d77e | Hanyu Guo | 5,579 | 13.6¢ | $5.58K | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 6,671 bets |
| 0xd9e0…05f2 | Hanyu Guo | 139 | 32.7¢ | $139 | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 52,653 bets |
| 0xa40a…bad1 | Hanyu Guo | 70 | 100.6¢ | $70 | — |
| 0x284f…f709 | Hanyu Guo | 21 | 14.6¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x0e7c…365d | Hanyu Guo | 20 | 5.2¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.52 per $100 · 102 bets |
| 0x1b40…230c | Hanyu Guo | 4 | 12.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.58 per $100 · 2,016 bets |
| 0x3950…0d49 | Hanyu Guo | 0 | 14.4¢ | $0 | — |
| raven-raven0x3e1a…d21f | Hanyu Guo | 0 | 20.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Kkunn0xe787…5034 | Sorana Cirstea | 15,000 | 46.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 379 bets |
| 0xbfa8…a27d | Sorana Cirstea | 11,474 | 88.2¢ | $0 | — |
| astapzippo0x66b1…340f | Sorana Cirstea | 3,300 | 48.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.46 per $100 · 6,594 bets |
| CandleHammerDrums0x7c1e…bab3 | Sorana Cirstea | 3,074 | 87.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$8.71 per $100 · 22,797 bets |
| zoroelnino0xbc16…b530 | Sorana Cirstea | 1,928 | 89.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 959 bets |
| wiskundeman170xd399…2d2c | Sorana Cirstea | 1,400 | 80.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cao20x32e3…3a5c | Sorana Cirstea | 1,370 | 47.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Ressacad0x8975…ca9c | Sorana Cirstea | 1,292 | 39.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Sacrod0x8165…97b8 | Sorana Cirstea | 1,253 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| eskk0x86b1…c094 | Sorana Cirstea | 1,111 | 45.1¢ | $0 | — |
| xx21341asfd0x37c4…3e8f | Sorana Cirstea | 1,045 | 49.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8948…b414 | Sorana Cirstea | 1,000 | 94.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe7d3…b483 | Sorana Cirstea | 858 | 47.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 109 bets |
| RebornAthena0x081e…f76e | Sorana Cirstea | 830 | 37.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.42 per $100 · 5,843 bets |
| sweetcaroline0xcd3f…8e2b | Sorana Cirstea | 636 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 4,150 bets |
| 0xa45e…8176 | Sorana Cirstea | 515 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xae51…1d03 | Sorana Cirstea | 505 | 78.4¢ | $0 | — |
| realcaller0x9300…ca58 | Sorana Cirstea | 500 | 79.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Sorana Cirstea | 450 | 87.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 29,906 bets |
| 0x58e8…ff0f | Sorana Cirstea | 432 | 39.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Xlasha70x6bae…e6c5 | Sorana Cirstea | 422 | 48.6¢ | $0 | — |
| bogemika0x0ee5…e798 | Sorana Cirstea | 400 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| temparal0x4e2c…d730 | Sorana Cirstea | 400 | 97.9¢ | $0 | — |
| C63AMG0xb31e…c120 | Sorana Cirstea | 400 | 47.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.09 per $100 · 1,461 bets |
| TraderXI0xebe6…9278 | Sorana Cirstea | 350 | 33.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Shonv11110xc367…a0b4 | Sorana Cirstea | 349 | 16.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojahed0x9333…60d3 | Sorana Cirstea | 283 | 47.1¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Sorana Cirstea | 280 | 51.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x5baf…3e56 | Sorana Cirstea | 255 | 41.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5856…4e9d | Sorana Cirstea | 199 | 50.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.22 per $100 · 693 bets |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | Sorana Cirstea | 177 | 85.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 56,029 bets |
| Saleh210x2664…af2d | Sorana Cirstea | 144 | 70.6¢ | $0 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x5fe6…a99f | Sorana Cirstea | 139 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xefa2…fecd | Sorana Cirstea | 126 | 40.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Quanttennis0x571f…1d37 | Sorana Cirstea | 120 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| jzzck1120x125a…df71 | Sorana Cirstea | 115 | 44.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ken50x2db8…e042 | Sorana Cirstea | 112 | 89.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Aubrey20x52df…92db | Sorana Cirstea | 105 | 88.3¢ | $0 | — |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Sorana Cirstea | 100 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| testyeagles0xaaca…f5d5 | Sorana Cirstea | 94 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 17,528 bets |
| sara3410x0a6f…2fcf | Sorana Cirstea | 93 | 63.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 141f13aE0c0x0373…3e8c | Sorana Cirstea | 90 | 63.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.00 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| 0x75a0…5008 | Sorana Cirstea | 86 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MOMMYMESSI0x2e7c…3cb0 | Sorana Cirstea | 79 | 86.2¢ | $0 | — |
| riesutuskynejas0x2ea6…428a | Sorana Cirstea | 70 | 53.6¢ | $0 | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Sorana Cirstea | 70 | 91.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 34,149 bets |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Sorana Cirstea | 70 | 47.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 61,151 bets |
| assasin50020x183c…9738 | Sorana Cirstea | 69 | 79.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.26 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| admast0xf87d…be23 | Sorana Cirstea | 67 | 45.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Hanyu Guo minus Sorana Cirstea for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.