Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Hanyu Guo, 0 on Sorana Cirstea. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dv-pm0x56ac…d77e | Hanyu Guo | 5,579 | 13.6¢ | $5.58K | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 6,671 bets |
| 0xd9e0…05f2 | Hanyu Guo | 139 | 32.7¢ | $139 | Positive |
Shares = Hanyu Guo minus Sorana Cirstea for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | Hanyu Guo | 77 | 13.6¢ | $77 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| 0xa40a…bad1 | Hanyu Guo | 70 | 100.6¢ | $70 | — |
| masadesuwa960x69f4…c6ee | Hanyu Guo | 50 | 82.8¢ | $50 | — |
| epistemic0x835b…118f | Hanyu Guo | 50 | 5.1¢ | $50 | Losing−$4.69 per $100 · 1,008 bets |