Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Yashar win 24% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 6 outcomes add up to 126.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nisiti0x06ae…0a09 | No | 225 | 88.5¢ | $204 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 40 | 86.5¢ | $36 | — |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No | 22 | 83.6¢ | $20 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 201 | 12.7¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 89.4¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 39 | 10.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.