Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 246 | 34.5¢ | $46 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | No | 46 | 64.7¢ | $37 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 40 | 59.5¢ | $33 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 21 | 63.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 57.0¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 6 outcomes add up to 106.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.