Market · 2 of 7 outcomes
Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 197 | 77.2¢ | $151 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| plafa.-90xd661…87c6 | No | 98 | 78.0¢ | $75 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 |
| Yes |
| 191 |
| 23.5¢ |
| $45 |
| Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| danikonsens0x51a2…051b | Yes | 182 | 22.7¢ | $43 | — |
| TheFullSteam0x3885…35de | Yes | 146 | 14.2¢ | $34 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 77 | 16.2¢ | $18 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| 0x9d9a…eefd | Yes | 71 | 14.5¢ | $17 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 17 | 73.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 30 | 30.5¢ | $7 | — |
| TheYemenboy0x3c9d…5906 | Yes | 30 | 27.4¢ | $7 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 9 | 76.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 7 | 70.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Mar1tn0x57f6…509b | Yes | 14 | 29.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 10 | 23.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0xb79a…4bb8 | Yes | 9 | 24.2¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 7 | 24.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 2 | 86.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 4 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| alonl880xa882…6a9f | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 2 | 23.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| Speedyturtle770x2951…4daf | Yes | 2 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 1 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x07dd…ae34 | No | 0 | 84.5¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 1 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 0 | 77.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 79.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | No | 0 | 80.6¢ | $0 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 74 shares each side · Show
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