Market · 1 of 7 outcomes
Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 197 | 77.2¢ | $151 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| plafa.-90xd661…87c6 | No | 98 | 78.0¢ | $75 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 |
| Yes |
| 191 |
| 23.5¢ |
| $45 |
| Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| danikonsens0x51a2…051b | Yes | 182 | 22.7¢ | $43 | — |
| TheFullSteam0x3885…35de | Yes | 146 | 14.2¢ | $34 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 77 | 16.2¢ | $18 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 74 shares each side · Show
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These 7 outcomes add up to 121.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.