Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 1,518 | 96.1¢ | $1.49K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| Alegrandebig0x3773…f0dd | No | 1,137 | 97.1¢ | $1.11K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 1,125 | 96.2¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| GTOrski10xb3af…84fc | No | 191 | 95.8¢ | $187 | New31 settled bets |
| 6666888880xfbda…fdbb | No | 160 | 94.2¢ | $156 | — |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 108 | 93.2¢ | $105 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |