Market · 14 of 17 outcomes
Will Warren Schaeffer win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 17 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c6090xcfd6…88c4 | No | 2 | 98.7¢ | $2 | — |
| sportkingzer0x0637…1e31 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 350 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 5-min0x153c…e5d0 | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 200 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 167 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.25 per $100 · 5,875 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 125 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,282 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 108 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 95 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 93 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 83 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 82 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 78 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,064 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 69 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 59 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 160,034+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 55 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 50 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 49 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 40 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 40 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| sdjygfjyew0x218a…181b | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 26 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.15 per $100 · 20,740 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 25 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,576 bets |
| helic0pter0x4b3e…cfae | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 18 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.71 per $100 · 58,881+ bets · updating |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 18 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 309 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 10 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | Yes | 7 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| sdvsdavs0xe206…bdbd | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.