Market · 14 of 17 outcomes
Will Warren Schaeffer win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 17 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c6090xcfd6…88c4 | No | 2 | 98.7¢ | $2 | — |
| sportkingzer0x0637…1e31 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 350 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 5-min0x153c…e5d0 | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 200 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
5 more outcomes in this event.
These 17 outcomes add up to 94.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.