Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 3.7¢ | +0.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 9.7¢ | +6.9 pts |
| $100,000 | 43.3¢ | +40.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 73.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 3¢.
About $1.5K can be bought and $16.1K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 2.8¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 11:35 UTC.