Market
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No | 87,047 | 60.3¢ | $82.3K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 37,101 | 72.8¢ | $35.1K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| sheisgorgeous0xf44b…c2b3 | No | 8,499 | 93.3¢ | $8.03K | — |
| leqso04100xd5c9…586a | No | 8,015 | 92.3¢ | $7.57K | Losing−$6.41 per $100 · 171 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 7,304 | 85.3¢ | $6.9K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 4,588 | 86.7¢ | $4.34K | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |