October 31

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?”.

1. §1This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
2. §2Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
3. §3Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
4. §4If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
5. §5Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
6. §6The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.