Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 296 | 83.8¢ | $286 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | No | 84 | 94.1¢ | $82 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 100 | 5.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 92 | 10.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 60 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 40 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| bZk0Uo0x138b…0467 | No | 1 | 51.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.61 per $100 · 1,541 bets |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | Yes | 23 | 6.1¢ | $1 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 23 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| jhuus0x4e90…e295 | Yes | 22 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 21 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.