Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | No | 495 | 88.5¢ | $438 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| vino12340xefdd…8370 | No | 305 | 84.6¢ | $270 | — |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 300 | 85.7¢ | $266 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 200 | 84.0¢ | $177 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 149 | 85.8¢ | $132 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 140 | 88.8¢ | $124 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 104 | 73.0¢ | $92 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 561 | 12.1¢ | $64 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | No | 71 | 84.5¢ | $63 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 379 | 11.9¢ | $44 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 40 | 89.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 4,124 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 39 | 86.9¢ | $35 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | Yes | 200 | 15.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 2,791 bets |
| Ddonineteen0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | 119 | 17.3¢ | $14 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 94 | 7.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| JamesNguyen120xc440…2e0e | No | 10 | 87.5¢ | $9 | — |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 8 | 90.4¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 60 | 14.6¢ | $7 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 58 | 9.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| EndofBeginning880x7828…381b | No | 7 | 85.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 57 | 50.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Lurki0x5588…f061 | Yes | 50 | 18.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 6 | 90.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| ninjagamerpinny0x308f…8607 | No | 5 | 89.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x0981…5b7f | No | 5 | 83.6¢ | $4 | — |
| kz-5300x0ed4…c23b | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | No | 5 | 89.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x282f…88b5 | Yes | 36 | 14.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 35 | 11.3¢ | $4 | — |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $4 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | 30 | 21.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.04 per $100 · 45,677+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 28 | 11.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0xe950…f7ed | No | 3 | 90.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbada…d874 | Yes | 25 | 16.5¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 20 | 13.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| 0x9923…51a9 | Yes | 19 | 10.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2650…44f7 | No | 2 | 91.3¢ | $2 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 14 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 14 | 27.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6747…ef6b | Yes | 14 | 19.6¢ | $2 | — |
| POB10xb431…82ec | No | 2 | 85.0¢ | $1 | — |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 702 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 8 | 15.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| VKCz4DXpxMzc85GXxekG0x1ab5…4859 | Yes | 5 | 19.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | Yes | 5 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| xihong0x9f13…b84a | Yes | 5 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 4 | 16.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | Yes | 0 | 15.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| napamen0x8494…814a | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.