Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | No | 495 | 88.5¢ | $433 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| vino12340xefdd…8370 | No | 305 | 84.6¢ | $266 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 |
| No |
| 300 |
| 85.7¢ |
| $263 |
| Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 200 | 84.0¢ | $175 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 149 | 85.8¢ | $131 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 140 | 88.8¢ | $122 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,258 bets |