Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 6 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| allenzzz0xe749…f771 | No | 42,587 | 94.8¢ | $41.7K | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 229 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 28,693 | 87.9¢ | $28.1K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 22,140 | 89.8¢ | $21.7K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| 0x4b6f…fcdb | No | 12,487 | 80.2¢ | $12.2K | — |
| tryingout10xba0e…5ceb | No | 4,603 | 87.6¢ | $4.51K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 145 bets |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | No | 4,000 | 90.0¢ | $3.92K | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 523 bets |
| Cudnbdls0x9e55…17c0 | No | 3,756 | 88.5¢ | $3.68K | New15 settled bets |
| inventive0x7de7…a9c8 | No | 3,576 | 87.0¢ | $3.5K | New29 settled bets |
| dannyboy240xb0c3…a7b6 | No | 2,236 | 84.9¢ | $2.19K | — |
| brother-magpie0xe399…7dc1 | No | 2,000 | 85.0¢ | $1.96K | New11 settled bets |
| zZQ8xU4Btx0x12d1…46cf | No | 1,699 | 86.0¢ | $1.67K | — |
| littlebird0x202b…971a | No | 1,653 | 88.4¢ | $1.62K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,632 | 97.1¢ | $1.6K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 1,575 | 87.1¢ | $1.54K | — |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 1,303 | 97.5¢ | $1.28K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| eounegui0xa0ad…cff1 | No | 1,285 | 87.0¢ | $1.26K | — |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 1,140 | 89.0¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | No | 1,071 | 78.8¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| 0x919d…60e1 | No | 1,051 | 87.9¢ | $1.03K | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| Mriz960x8c3b…e573 | No | 1,000 | 85.6¢ | $980 | Losing−$12.32 per $100 · 136 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 975 | 89.0¢ | $956 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| cashmoneyyy0x1847…460f | No | 867 | 86.5¢ | $850 | New78 settled bets |
| derekac0xf59e…f0bf | No | 800 | 86.0¢ | $784 | — |
| Aslan0xe6d8…3484 | No | 709 | 87.7¢ | $695 | — |
| 0x234e…240b | No | 696 | 87.9¢ | $682 | Losing−$2.82 per $100 · 202 bets |
| VortexTrading0x41c7…0df5 | No | 630 | 92.1¢ | $617 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 5,224 bets |
| hetlock0x7083…49f9 | No | 517 | 80.6¢ | $506 | — |
| prince1pp0x31e5…0b07 | No | 500 | 87.0¢ | $490 | — |
| 0xc4a7…898a | No | 481 | 95.5¢ | $472 | — |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 476 | 84.0¢ | $466 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| Megabeastkila0xef06…39f6 | No | 362 | 88.0¢ | $355 | — |
| zykl59590xc754…b24e | No | 335 | 85.4¢ | $328 | — |
| LB1T0xa5a4…84a0 | No | 284 | 88.0¢ | $278 | — |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 250 | 94.2¢ | $245 | — |
| gogo19950xe39e…dde0 | No | 250 | 98.2¢ | $245 | — |
| LBZone0xd81f…6b75 | No | 235 | 86.0¢ | $230 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 23,245 bets |
| 0xacb5…8330 | Yes | 11,224 | 12.4¢ | $224 | — |
| badkidsart0xc6c2…1b0d | No | 223 | 89.6¢ | $219 | — |
| Vegeta840xe8bc…9a13 | Yes | 9,540 | 10.9¢ | $191 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 194 | 90.0¢ | $191 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0x97a2…8ff6 | Yes | 8,502 | 9.7¢ | $170 | — |
| WhateverDude0x50e4…1ced | Yes | 8,333 | 12.0¢ | $167 | New74 settled bets |
| shock6430x29b8…08e8 | No | 116 | 86.0¢ | $114 | — |
| 0xe60b…098c | No | 116 | 86.0¢ | $114 | — |
| tndaw0x1db8…2d38 | No | 115 | 87.0¢ | $113 | — |
| lonewolf60120xcf3d…56b9 | No | 111 | 90.0¢ | $109 | — |
| niker23990x260c…6d37 | No | 107 | 87.0¢ | $105 | — |
| votve0xddf1…1028 | Yes | 5,092 | 13.2¢ | $102 | — |
| 0x77cd…5a13 | No | 102 | 92.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x86a5…d11a | Yes | 4,131 | 12.1¢ | $83 | — |
| 0x8852…a31b | Yes | 3,821 | 13.1¢ | $76 | — |
| outcomes0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | 3,641 | 2.5¢ | $73 | Proven+$18.81 per $100 · 882 bets |
| justF0xfa31…7664 | Yes | 3,333 | 4.6¢ | $67 | — |
| 0x144a…dd6d | Yes | 3,187 | 15.6¢ | $64 | — |
| doublede280xbd6a…7f2c | Yes | 2,770 | 11.6¢ | $55 | — |
| Schnitzelwiener0x755c…ba9f | Yes | 2,039 | 2.4¢ | $41 | — |
| 0xbb08…639c | Yes | 2,007 | 5.2¢ | $40 | — |
| lisbongg0xdd44…2c0e | Yes | 2,000 | 10.0¢ | $40 | — |
| Skvantla110x4eb3…da0e | Yes | 1,967 | 3.3¢ | $39 | — |
| expectless0x78c6…4710 | Yes | 1,824 | 15.0¢ | $36 | Losing−$6.95 per $100 · 110 bets |
| 0xd55a…0c7f | Yes | 1,718 | 14.5¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xa2f1…999b | Yes | 1,667 | 14.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 1,500 | 2.7¢ | $30 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| pavlik3370xce1b…132f | Yes | 1,500 | 15.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xf1f2…5efb | Yes | 1,482 | 14.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x5ab1…9ce3 | Yes | 1,429 | 14.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x2814…5596 | Yes | 1,285 | 12.0¢ | $26 | — |
| Chisato6660x9c8f…46ff | Yes | 1,250 | 8.3¢ | $25 | — |
| rocky420030x2e62…b22e | Yes | 1,249 | 14.5¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 10,636 bets |
| MCGAAAAA0xe3a5…6e00 | Yes | 1,118 | 2.3¢ | $22 | — |
| GrayfrmdaK0xcd97…79b9 | Yes | 1,016 | 2.7¢ | $20 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 1,000 | 12.0¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | Yes | 1,000 | 6.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x4d7f…9d28 | Yes | 976 | 11.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Betsalot0x87cf…30c2 | Yes | 941 | 15.0¢ | $19 | — |
| MadOtter0x1e69…479f | Yes | 909 | 11.0¢ | $18 | — |
| DannoCH0x2c46…a0cd | Yes | 900 | 3.1¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xcrag0x0bd8…a74a | Yes | 855 | 10.0¢ | $17 | — |
| blaeckiy0x2a41…34a8 | Yes | 841 | 2.5¢ | $17 | — |
| Better-better0xd9ec…da36 | Yes | 808 | 16.7¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 789 | 1.7¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| TheIronGiant0x2d34…bbff | Yes | 775 | 3.5¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x9173…bed3 | Yes | 769 | 13.0¢ | $15 | — |
| anjorni0xdc19…0b8a | Yes | 769 | 13.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Mohxbt0xad08…2e9f | Yes | 769 | 12.9¢ | $15 | — |
| daweed0x0469…c10a | Yes | 714 | 14.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x252f…8911 | Yes | 714 | 14.0¢ | $14 | — |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 710 | 2.5¢ | $14 | New89 settled bets |
| 9099900x0fac…b5b4 | Yes | 705 | 8.7¢ | $14 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 679 | 3.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Sakebom0x2b01…0a9e | Yes | 673 | 11.0¢ | $13 | — |
6 accounts bet both sides equally · 4.25K shares each side · Show
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