Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 6 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| allenzzz0xe749…f771 | No | 42,587 | 94.8¢ | $41.7K | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 229 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 28,693 | 87.9¢ | $28.1K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 22,140 | 89.8¢ | $21.7K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| 0x4b6f…fcdb | No | 12,487 | 80.2¢ | $12.2K | — |
| tryingout10xba0e…5ceb | No | 4,603 | 87.6¢ | $4.51K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 145 bets |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | No | 4,000 | 90.0¢ | $3.92K | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 523 bets |
6 accounts bet both sides equally · 4.25K shares each side · Show
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