Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 12 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TraderSDG0x6ae0…1472 | No | 504,999 | 84.3¢ | $494K | New17 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 218,198 | 91.6¢ | $213K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Macks220x1057…9ea5 | No | 205,030 | 80.0¢ | $200K | Proven+$31.50 per $100 · 122 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 199,111 | 88.5¢ | $195K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| keribit0xc9dc…9026 | No | 98,971 | 89.8¢ | $96.7K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 496 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 94,890 | 89.6¢ | $92.8K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| TerreMoto0x0b21…deb6 | No | 88,201 | 84.7¢ | $86.2K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| Batundi0x9604…fc1d | No | 62,636 | 89.0¢ | $61.2K | Losing−$2.39 per $100 · 175 bets |
| 0x1ce4…fbd1 | No | 58,477 | 88.6¢ | $57.2K | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 132 bets |
| FrulliFrulla0xb18c…b41e | No | 57,110 | 88.1¢ | $55.8K | New77 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 55,000 | 82.0¢ | $53.8K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| 0xdamocles0xf5c4…0926 | No | 44,045 | 85.4¢ | $43.1K | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 283 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 43,940 | 89.6¢ | $43K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | No | 40,040 | 84.7¢ | $39.1K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0x333e…369b | No | 37,346 | 91.7¢ | $36.5K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 163 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 37,186 | 96.6¢ | $36.3K | New18 settled bets |
| Bombarda0x72e1…7d89 | No | 35,782 | 86.4¢ | $35K | Proven+$8.84 per $100 · 108 bets |
| manymoneyhome0xe85e…77fc | No | 35,000 | 86.0¢ | $34.2K | New3 settled bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 33,000 | 88.7¢ | $32.3K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B90xfacd…9109 | No | 32,774 | 91.6¢ | $32K | Proven+$3.59 per $100 · 306 bets |
| 0xcb74…d806 | No | 30,027 | 84.3¢ | $29.4K | New32 settled bets |
| waveNemo0x882a…f2b3 | No | 30,000 | 79.9¢ | $29.3K | New27 settled bets |
| 339231890xea45…284c | No | 29,628 | 79.2¢ | $29K | New17 settled bets |
| e888880x0d15…c454 | No | 25,242 | 85.1¢ | $24.7K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 167 bets |
| Imbafer0x02a1…dd72 | No | 24,985 | 81.8¢ | $24.4K | Proven+$9.31 per $100 · 481 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | No | 22,958 | 81.9¢ | $22.4K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| Qualitative0x0f86…404e | No | 22,111 | 86.0¢ | $21.6K | Positive+$2.39 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x26b2…4486 | No | 21,111 | 94.4¢ | $20.6K | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 308 bets |
| FinStar0x4b8f…4a0f | No | 18,000 | 85.0¢ | $17.6K | New47 settled bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 17,022 | 95.7¢ | $16.6K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| VegemiteLover0x2079…8327 | No | 16,488 | 88.0¢ | $16.1K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 269 bets |
| wttg0xdf25…3b7f | No | 15,346 | 80.8¢ | $15K | New64 settled bets |
| MeltersFTW0xc3ce…f646 | No | 15,000 | 84.8¢ | $14.7K | Proven+$5.85 per $100 · 205 bets |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 14,969 | 90.3¢ | $14.6K | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| TungTungTungSahurX0x03e3…10e9 | No | 14,791 | 88.0¢ | $14.5K | New22 settled bets |
| mayoshi0x027a…7de7 | No | 14,580 | 91.4¢ | $14.3K | New14 settled bets |
| vovatoxic0xf989…47cc | No | 14,487 | 82.8¢ | $14.2K | Proven+$31.56 per $100 · 158 bets |
| AuntyUna0x1f4c…e344 | No | 13,520 | 93.5¢ | $13.2K | New6 settled bets |
| Chinuita0xf4cc…571d | No | 13,354 | 83.0¢ | $13.1K | New33 settled bets |
| vacoolaaa0x464e…1a67 | No | 12,563 | 82.1¢ | $12.3K | Losing−$3.60 per $100 · 218 bets |
| FDTpuissance0x17c6…8aca | No | 12,000 | 87.0¢ | $11.7K | New59 settled bets |
| GamblingRuinsLives0xe522…2ad8 | Yes | 511,539 | 20.5¢ | $11.5K | New0 settled bets |
| Vingeesus0xe980…75e1 | No | 11,610 | 89.3¢ | $11.3K | Losing−$9.88 per $100 · 142 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 11,520 | 91.6¢ | $11.3K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| kevinlim8830x51f2…cc8b | No | 10,699 | 93.5¢ | $10.5K | New27 settled bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 10,002 | 88.0¢ | $9.78K | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | No | 10,000 | 81.0¢ | $9.77K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 17,733 bets |
| 100x0xb48e…a144 | No | 9,726 | 81.0¢ | $9.51K | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 165 bets |
| DanilAndGirl0xf44d…437b | No | 9,431 | 80.0¢ | $9.22K | New10 settled bets |
| bazooka10x031d…6570 | No | 9,394 | 93.9¢ | $9.18K | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 234 bets |
| CP-directional0x07e1…27af | No | 8,370 | 96.7¢ | $8.18K | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 141 bets |
| trumpery0x6228…b2f7 | Yes | 316,667 | 12.0¢ | $7.12K | New0 settled bets |
| Lxxxxx0xa3c6…0547 | Yes | 283,690 | 20.0¢ | $6.38K | New77 settled bets |
| OkinawaMoongazer0x060e…2384 | Yes | 280,000 | 17.0¢ | $6.3K | New87 settled bets |
| AmericanImperialism0xb5f2…9432 | Yes | 194,282 | 15.5¢ | $4.37K | New0 settled bets |
| 0xc615…e982 | Yes | 141,093 | 17.7¢ | $3.17K | New22 settled bets |
| vk70x74db…4ca5 | Yes | 87,400 | 17.1¢ | $1.97K | New59 settled bets |
| -blue90xd463…60bc | Yes | 85,500 | 16.5¢ | $1.92K | New0 settled bets |
| sanalid0xbab6…50a2 | Yes | 39,779 | 17.0¢ | $895 | Losing−$11.60 per $100 · 400 bets |
| Tiemuzhen0x2618…aecf | Yes | 36,429 | 15.6¢ | $820 | New49 settled bets |
| Vanchalkenstein0x9c16…09cb | Yes | 35,873 | 17.6¢ | $807 | Losing−$3.83 per $100 · 770 bets |
| Triamerica0x2424…b4b5 | Yes | 28,293 | 18.0¢ | $637 | New2 settled bets |
| bbttyl0x40f8…4248 | Yes | 23,502 | 14.0¢ | $529 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x8944…c3fd | Yes | 21,800 | 16.5¢ | $491 | New7 settled bets |
| 0xb9e9…e211 | Yes | 20,000 | 12.9¢ | $450 | New18 settled bets |
| biota0x5fe6…e7ae | Yes | 16,650 | 18.0¢ | $375 | New7 settled bets |
| ivanmzivkovic0xd556…8ea6 | Yes | 15,072 | 16.6¢ | $339 | New10 settled bets |
| MarketWatcher0070x4eee…5169 | Yes | 14,629 | 20.5¢ | $329 | New1 settled bet |
| generalSVR0x5e85…80c1 | Yes | 14,286 | 21.0¢ | $321 | New20 settled bets |
| gorgerwert0x831e…9d3f | Yes | 13,789 | 21.0¢ | $310 | New0 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 13,000 | 7.8¢ | $293 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| illumination0xe1b5…8378 | Yes | 12,800 | 4.1¢ | $288 | New68 settled bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | Yes | 12,155 | 8.9¢ | $273 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| AAAGOD0x0a3c…b173 | Yes | 9,137 | 18.0¢ | $206 | New1 settled bet |
| 0xa46c…d270 | Yes | 9,078 | 19.0¢ | $204 | New36 settled bets |
| Led0xe346…d80b | Yes | 9,073 | 13.4¢ | $204 | New4 settled bets |
| gillyinthemist0x7368…2f27 | Yes | 7,692 | 13.0¢ | $173 | New1 settled bet |
| Chessxyz0x4594…b1ac | Yes | 7,417 | 13.5¢ | $167 | Losing−$10.25 per $100 · 366 bets |
| davtas0xeb5c…903d | Yes | 7,143 | 14.0¢ | $161 | New38 settled bets |
| 0x7fa7…dddc | Yes | 6,330 | 17.8¢ | $142 | New4 settled bets |
| gambler123410x4b18…6d49 | Yes | 6,294 | 16.0¢ | $142 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x9bb5…ed3b | Yes | 6,250 | 16.0¢ | $141 | New18 settled bets |
| Alikf0110x2d4f…4c2e | Yes | 6,201 | 23.0¢ | $140 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x5cb8…9220 | Yes | 6,161 | 17.4¢ | $139 | New1 settled bet |
| Echidnus0x0e04…9d98 | Yes | 6,100 | 18.0¢ | $137 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x2110…6181 | Yes | 5,882 | 17.0¢ | $132 | New17 settled bets |
| 0x5853…c227 | Yes | 5,714 | 21.0¢ | $129 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x5ea1…5828 | Yes | 5,599 | 10.0¢ | $126 | New1 settled bet |
| yoyoyoyoyo0xfc81…60a3 | Yes | 5,563 | 19.0¢ | $125 | New66 settled bets |
| Vandalpt0x1aa9…b675 | Yes | 5,556 | 18.0¢ | $125 | New11 settled bets |
| dgnchucknorris0x7da6…2477 | Yes | 5,556 | 18.0¢ | $125 | New0 settled bets |
| ImmenseAngel51060x7ff5…18a8 | Yes | 5,556 | 18.0¢ | $125 | New0 settled bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 5,000 | 16.0¢ | $113 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| wdfu0x94e0…104d | Yes | 5,000 | 19.0¢ | $113 | New2 settled bets |
| MarcoZ.0xfa26…9919 | Yes | 5,000 | 10.0¢ | $113 | New36 settled bets |
| initowinit0x30e9…f485 | Yes | 4,762 | 21.0¢ | $107 | New11 settled bets |
| cryptomables0x11de…38c3 | Yes | 4,700 | 17.0¢ | $106 | New40 settled bets |
| Rufr0xbb5d…fa33 | Yes | 4,565 | 17.2¢ | $103 | New6 settled bets |
| marthoni0x642c…6b9b | Yes | 4,406 | 11.8¢ | $99 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x3311…c496 | Yes | 4,357 | 13.7¢ | $98 | New3 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.