Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 18 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LulaVaiPerder0x7f9e…3a0e | No | 379,183 | 74.3¢ | $313K | Proven+$9.82 per $100 · 435 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | No | 370,470 | 73.6¢ | $306K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| scout0x2d99…4ca3 | No | 260,000 | 85.5¢ | $215K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 1,012 bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 250,000 | 75.7¢ | $206K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| TheQuietRisk0x0a85…fe9d | Yes | 1,056,379 | 23.5¢ | $185K | Proven+$22.32 per $100 · 109 bets |
| xm390x696d…f89d | Yes | 1,008,151 | 18.1¢ | $176K | Losing−$72.09 per $100 · 110 bets |
| 0xe639…082a | No | 186,058 | 85.0¢ | $153K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 299 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 184,476 | 79.0¢ | $152K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,965 bets |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | Yes | 819,221 | 34.7¢ | $143K | New79 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 162,500 | 79.3¢ | $134K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0xad96…d498 | No | 154,696 | 85.0¢ | $128K | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | No | 150,597 | 84.4¢ | $124K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 639 bets |
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No | 129,600 | 83.4¢ | $107K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 122,861 | 82.2¢ | $101K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| freeman1230xb70c…34ca | No | 117,663 | 85.0¢ | $97.1K | Proven+$4.42 per $100 · 732 bets |
| Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc | No | 114,556 | 83.5¢ | $94.5K | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 237 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 100,016 | 83.6¢ | $82.5K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | No | 100,000 | 84.0¢ | $82.5K | New55 settled bets |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | No | 100,000 | 85.3¢ | $82.5K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No | 100,000 | 72.9¢ | $82.5K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| cocos2280x8e5c…a68a | No | 99,405 | 72.7¢ | $82K | Proven+$17.59 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Dropper0x6bab…1292 | No | 99,391 | 77.9¢ | $82K | Proven+$4.27 per $100 · 2,262 bets |
| onepingonly0x950e…f8e5 | Yes | 400,000 | 29.3¢ | $70K | New11 settled bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 80,033 | 84.3¢ | $66K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,266 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 78,000 | 81.8¢ | $64.3K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 781 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 77,777 | 84.6¢ | $64.2K | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,020 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 73,179 | 85.0¢ | $60.4K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 66,375 | 80.0¢ | $54.8K | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| J3cExePrd1KEM0xdd1d…bbf0 | No | 56,689 | 83.7¢ | $46.8K | New36 settled bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | No | 56,145 | 84.2¢ | $46.3K | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | No | 54,386 | 67.2¢ | $44.9K | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,899 bets |
| Kryptogram0xe961…ef1b | Yes | 249,495 | 20.0¢ | $43.7K | New62 settled bets |
| Aq4ExePrd22Jn0x0cba…92d3 | No | 50,877 | 85.8¢ | $42K | New44 settled bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | No | 50,622 | 74.7¢ | $41.8K | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 50,000 | 83.9¢ | $41.2K | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| ddurrrrrr0x33d2…952e | No | 50,000 | 84.0¢ | $41.2K | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 145 bets |
| RockyZet0x368b…2458 | No | 46,800 | 83.8¢ | $38.6K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 506 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 220,000 | 16.2¢ | $38.5K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 45,000 | 84.0¢ | $37.1K | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | Yes | 200,224 | 21.3¢ | $35K | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 40,222 | 74.1¢ | $33.2K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 40,000 | 81.4¢ | $33K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | No | 39,303 | 76.6¢ | $32.4K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 38,901 | 85.3¢ | $32.1K | New56 settled bets |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | No | 38,671 | 83.7¢ | $31.9K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| DonaldPumpJr0x4b4b…cbf7 | Yes | 172,469 | 22.8¢ | $30.2K | New3 settled bets |
| G.laila0xa092…11e3 | No | 35,548 | 68.6¢ | $29.3K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 414 bets |
| JJo0xc408…4675 | No | 35,303 | 83.7¢ | $29.1K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,924 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 35,190 | 84.0¢ | $29K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,934 bets |
| 0xa9f3…4bce | No | 33,363 | 84.0¢ | $27.5K | Losing−$13.89 per $100 · 120 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | No | 33,333 | 83.0¢ | $27.5K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | Yes | 155,445 | 22.6¢ | $27.2K | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 32,488 | 84.7¢ | $26.8K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| 0x41e8…b994 | No | 31,726 | 80.0¢ | $26.2K | Proven+$8.84 per $100 · 149 bets |
| 0x301e…b192 | No | 30,886 | 66.2¢ | $25.5K | New65 settled bets |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No | 30,790 | 83.3¢ | $25.4K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| air30xf143…fdb3 | No | 30,264 | 70.1¢ | $25K | New59 settled bets |
| kenzok0xc13a…6471 | Yes | 141,457 | 18.6¢ | $24.8K | New18 settled bets |
| zhaoyk0xcc03…d5c0 | No | 30,000 | 71.0¢ | $24.7K | New28 settled bets |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | No | 30,000 | 86.0¢ | $24.7K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 120,292 | 22.4¢ | $21.1K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| freeman13370x7401…87c5 | Yes | 89,252 | 55.1¢ | $15.6K | New4 settled bets |
| TreepleA0x932f…2cd8 | Yes | 70,835 | 21.0¢ | $12.4K | New60 settled bets |
| luckyduck420xeed1…d782 | Yes | 66,832 | 52.6¢ | $11.7K | New77 settled bets |
| bathon0xae2f…db23 | Yes | 59,100 | 33.2¢ | $10.3K | Proven+$30.40 per $100 · 6,244 bets |
| anas100xb1fa…1a14 | Yes | 57,500 | 21.0¢ | $10.1K | Losing−$3.65 per $100 · 184 bets |
| starbuck020xea79…a9cc | Yes | 51,779 | 32.0¢ | $9.06K | Losing−$3.64 per $100 · 1,291 bets |
| Blazzin160x1c86…d8d6 | Yes | 46,353 | 28.3¢ | $8.11K | New13 settled bets |
| 0xe5f0…dc1d | Yes | 44,043 | 34.4¢ | $7.71K | Losing−$9.79 per $100 · 4,365 bets |
| trumpsbestfriend0x6063…61ae | Yes | 42,074 | 22.8¢ | $7.36K | New42 settled bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 41,093 | 16.1¢ | $7.19K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| bc12340xc623…9afd | Yes | 40,970 | 56.5¢ | $7.17K | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 316 bets |
| abracadabr0x10e4…b019 | Yes | 40,062 | 18.3¢ | $7.01K | Proven+$7.15 per $100 · 116 bets |
| 0x43cf…d143 | Yes | 39,306 | 28.6¢ | $6.88K | Positive+$9.76 per $100 · 115 bets |
| dumb-trader670xc484…4cd5 | Yes | 34,189 | 33.0¢ | $5.98K | Positive+$2.24 per $100 · 159 bets |
| crypto-jesus0xbe07…c2fe | Yes | 33,549 | 53.9¢ | $5.87K | New0 settled bets |
| GreySwansRecon0x5547…3d0c | Yes | 32,484 | 23.0¢ | $5.68K | Proven+$7.18 per $100 · 147 bets |
| FarseerProphecies0x746f…566d | Yes | 31,001 | 24.7¢ | $5.43K | Losing−$26.22 per $100 · 111 bets |
| 0x3ac4…0e8b | Yes | 30,002 | 40.4¢ | $5.25K | New47 settled bets |
| Hugewinner0xc8ec…e8f1 | Yes | 29,752 | 16.8¢ | $5.21K | Proven+$31.03 per $100 · 380 bets |
| DemoKratic0x0e40…f622 | Yes | 28,218 | 29.4¢ | $4.94K | Losing−$12.20 per $100 · 183 bets |
| DCSG10xcf7a…3649 | Yes | 26,719 | 59.9¢ | $4.68K | New1 settled bet |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 25,000 | 15.4¢ | $4.37K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| herewe0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | 22,902 | 21.6¢ | $4.01K | Positive+$2.13 per $100 · 179 bets |
| SwissMiss0xdbad…9c95 | Yes | 22,640 | 52.1¢ | $3.96K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| 0xed87…788f | Yes | 22,434 | 30.8¢ | $3.93K | New12 settled bets |
| 0x79a1…34b5 | Yes | 21,153 | 31.0¢ | $3.7K | New9 settled bets |
| 0x9812…644f | Yes | 21,077 | 17.5¢ | $3.69K | New82 settled bets |
| smallcapguy0xa17d…f27e | Yes | 21,009 | 55.4¢ | $3.68K | New15 settled bets |
| oswiu0xebad…00ba | Yes | 20,203 | 24.2¢ | $3.54K | New26 settled bets |
| Tomson4560x7d9f…f01b | Yes | 20,176 | 17.3¢ | $3.53K | New61 settled bets |
| AGcopytr0x49d2…59f7 | Yes | 20,118 | 30.6¢ | $3.52K | New37 settled bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 20,000 | 30.0¢ | $3.5K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| heresjimmy0x48af…89cc | Yes | 17,200 | 17.0¢ | $3.01K | Proven+$24.71 per $100 · 388 bets |
| skyw0x05d4…92f5 | Yes | 15,492 | 23.1¢ | $2.71K | New54 settled bets |
| StratigosInvictus0xc8fd…ad83 | Yes | 14,839 | 20.0¢ | $2.6K | New0 settled bets |
| RobClive0xd837…e931 | Yes | 14,603 | 28.2¢ | $2.56K | New41 settled bets |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | Yes | 14,602 | 15.5¢ | $2.56K | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| Brokepredictor0x23f1…1e72 | Yes | 13,698 | 29.5¢ | $2.4K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.