Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 18.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 18.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 22.3¢ | +4.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 51.7¢ | +34.2 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 17¢.
About $69.2K can be bought and $118K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 17.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 08:33 UTC.
528 traders bet this week. 28 bets were $10K or more, and $506K of that went on Yes.