Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 17.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 17.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 22.8¢ | +6.3 pts |
| $500,000 | 52.6¢ | +36.1 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 16¢.
About $62K can be bought and $135K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 16.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 00:01 UTC.
491 traders bet this week. 25 bets were $10K or more, and $455K of that went on Yes.