Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 1,834 | 0.5¢ | $34 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 29 | 98.1¢ | $28 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 415 | 7.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 320 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 5 | 98.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 155 | 23.4¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | Yes | 105 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 102 | 8.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| FlashTradeOracle0xe196…0ab5 | Yes | 101 | 13.6¢ | $2 | — |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | 91 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 78 | 21.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8d30…6b31 | Yes | 69 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 67 | 9.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$11.06 per $100 · 306 bets |
| totalost8010xda39…b4aa | Yes | 50 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 40 | 22.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| snail750xa238…729c | Yes | 39 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kelobn0x15c7…273c | Yes | 36 | 8.1¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 36 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 32 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 31 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 25 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 25 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 16 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 9 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 5 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,327 bets |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| citcap0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | 5 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 19.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | No | 0 | 86.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 56,884 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 1 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 62sfds0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | 0 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4bfe…9257 | Yes | 0 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| justinztj0xb3f5…d9ae | Yes | 0 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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