Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 2.9¢ | +1.8 pts |
| $10,000 | 16.5¢ | +15.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 56.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 56.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $606 can be bought and $758 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 1.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 11:00 UTC.
US Confirms Aliens Exist · 1 event · $7.76M in play