Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
US Confirms Aliens Exist · 1 event · $7.76M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 132,500 | 99.0¢ | $131K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 128,398 | 98.9¢ | $127K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| 0xad96…d498 | No | 49,314 | 99.0¢ | $48.8K | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 101 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 29,555 | 98.8¢ | $29.2K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| Krejza680x1247…9ce9 | No | 25,773 | 98.9¢ | $25.5K | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 1,681 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 24,824 | 98.9¢ | $24.6K | New18 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.