Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US Confirms Aliens Exist · 1 event · $7.76M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa2cd…2ba0 | No | 1,455,976 | 87.6¢ | $1.41M | New24 settled bets |
| world-changer0xea42…6b0d | No | 919,337 | 92.8¢ | $889K | New3 settled bets |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | No | 450,378 | 81.7¢ | $436K | New79 settled bets |
| 0xb9eb…ab05 | No | 238,095 | 84.0¢ | $230K | New31 settled bets |
| onekey090x45b3…35bc | No | 203,897 | 79.5¢ | $197K | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 880 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 191,665 | 81.7¢ | $185K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 183,326 | 96.0¢ | $177K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| EricaXBT0x7383…bd0b | No | 179,609 | 81.7¢ | $174K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 219 bets |
| TeamA0x9ba9…3ce9 | No | 150,298 | 82.0¢ | $145K | New1 settled bet |
| charliealmanack0xa3a3…c2f9 | No | 139,933 | 83.0¢ | $135K | Proven+$10.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| momom0x3c8a…b45a | No | 139,843 | 90.3¢ | $135K | New43 settled bets |
| CryptoFortunate0xac48…2feb | No | 116,288 | 86.3¢ | $113K | New45 settled bets |
| 0x52e3…82d2 | No | 96,660 | 85.6¢ | $93.5K | New7 settled bets |
| TheEmprah0x4cb5…b536 | No | 91,000 | 91.7¢ | $88K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 213 bets |
| aangelika0x2202…8787 | No | 85,541 | 83.0¢ | $82.8K | New15 settled bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 81,241 | 89.6¢ | $78.6K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| llh0x8349…c99d | No | 72,653 | 88.6¢ | $70.3K | New73 settled bets |
| ddurrrrrr0x33d2…952e | No | 63,944 | 93.9¢ | $61.9K | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 145 bets |
| 0xad96…d498 | No | 59,938 | 96.5¢ | $58K | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 1dad0x07aa…e110 | No | 58,178 | 84.0¢ | $56.3K | New4 settled bets |
| Canaldi0x3006…e9f4 | No | 50,682 | 86.2¢ | $49K | New31 settled bets |
| inrock300xd576…d5e3 | No | 50,000 | 83.0¢ | $48.4K | New97 settled bets |
| n3verl0se0x3eaf…a927 | No | 46,925 | 85.2¢ | $45.4K | New9 settled bets |
| 0x6b25…8963 | No | 46,741 | 85.5¢ | $45.2K | New0 settled bets |
| MajoriT0x8c76…06ac | No | 37,313 | 84.5¢ | $36.1K | Losing−$1.69 per $100 · 470 bets |
| J3cExePrd1KEM0xdd1d…bbf0 | No | 37,201 | 84.9¢ | $36K | New36 settled bets |
| 0xa9f3…4bce | No | 35,329 | 92.2¢ | $34.2K | Losing−$13.89 per $100 · 120 bets |
| Phlox0x5c6b…f32b | No | 35,122 | 96.9¢ | $34K | Losing−$3.33 per $100 · 591 bets |
| cryptoaxel0xf29f…5cca | No | 35,000 | 79.1¢ | $33.9K | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 413 bets |
| -0-0x0eee…4c52 | No | 34,000 | 82.4¢ | $32.9K | New24 settled bets |
| pemul1s0xc65f…a150 | No | 32,402 | 83.0¢ | $31.3K | New66 settled bets |
| Cangryman20200x3fec…2b67 | No | 32,354 | 83.0¢ | $31.3K | New44 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 30,332 | 82.1¢ | $29.3K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| xcnstrategy0xcce2…d58b | No | 30,000 | 81.0¢ | $29K | Proven+$13.80 per $100 · 215 bets |
| SwissMiss0xdbad…9c95 | No | 30,000 | 81.0¢ | $29K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| Redlu0x81e0…aff6 | No | 29,279 | 82.1¢ | $28.3K | New29 settled bets |
| Maxtyt0xbd27…2807 | No | 29,000 | 83.1¢ | $28.1K | Losing−$12.41 per $100 · 164 bets |
| forever1230x8998…32be | No | 28,330 | 87.0¢ | $27.4K | New63 settled bets |
| PamBondiBonds0xbcf3…9d88 | No | 28,082 | 90.9¢ | $27.2K | New8 settled bets |
| TexasOx0xf695…17ac | Yes | 820,188 | 3.5¢ | $26.7K | New0 settled bets |
| moneychen0030x6fb9…05c7 | No | 25,672 | 84.0¢ | $24.8K | New2 settled bets |
| chifangaoshou0xb120…fcfd | No | 25,349 | 80.2¢ | $24.5K | New14 settled bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 24,282 | 96.2¢ | $23.5K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| feiralivre0xce1c…52ea | No | 24,250 | 82.5¢ | $23.5K | New0 settled bets |
| ccch0x7220…6fde | No | 24,000 | 86.0¢ | $23.2K | New36 settled bets |
| 0x10c7…e210 | No | 23,810 | 84.0¢ | $23K | New13 settled bets |
| 67676767676767sixtyseven0xa358…a91f | No | 23,000 | 84.4¢ | $22.3K | New56 settled bets |
| OprahDebank0xb3ca…ac8e | No | 23,000 | 77.6¢ | $22.3K | New55 settled bets |
| brother-magpie0xe399…7dc1 | No | 22,099 | 91.0¢ | $21.4K | New11 settled bets |
| 0xbb4d…7001 | No | 20,900 | 84.9¢ | $20.2K | New59 settled bets |
| 2121212121212121212120x1bc0…4429 | No | 20,000 | 84.0¢ | $19.3K | Proven+$4.29 per $100 · 572 bets |
| ShayaEredyon0xcd09…da63 | Yes | 550,254 | 17.0¢ | $17.9K | New83 settled bets |
| celestat31230x6ff0…7760 | Yes | 531,837 | 17.9¢ | $17.3K | New11 settled bets |
| NqJoaquin0xe192…c237 | Yes | 315,886 | 14.2¢ | $10.3K | New20 settled bets |
| 0x2881…2091 | Yes | 306,376 | 10.6¢ | $9.96K | New21 settled bets |
| StefVie0x9290…f429 | Yes | 262,089 | 20.0¢ | $8.52K | New12 settled bets |
| WeatherdemonAI0xdd36…f80f | Yes | 251,917 | 21.4¢ | $8.19K | New0 settled bets |
| Mantronix0x073a…91e7 | Yes | 250,000 | 12.2¢ | $8.13K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 171 bets |
| yeslabby0xa0f6…3fd4 | Yes | 237,500 | 3.1¢ | $7.72K | New0 settled bets |
| 108cap0x6ed9…ed43 | Yes | 176,824 | 19.7¢ | $5.75K | New0 settled bets |
| lifeswhatyoumakeit0xa829…691d | Yes | 174,607 | 5.3¢ | $5.67K | New1 settled bet |
| alienbid0xe1a8…a3d7 | Yes | 163,424 | 20.3¢ | $5.31K | New17 settled bets |
| zuker140x8147…4fbf | Yes | 115,481 | 19.5¢ | $3.75K | New6 settled bets |
| 0x7b98…b1be | Yes | 112,000 | 16.5¢ | $3.64K | New0 settled bets |
| V660x0633…e789 | Yes | 83,000 | 15.7¢ | $2.7K | New13 settled bets |
| 0x115a…e4a6 | Yes | 80,594 | 9.5¢ | $2.62K | New79 settled bets |
| Sitdownandrelax0xb09d…64c8 | Yes | 77,198 | 9.6¢ | $2.51K | New20 settled bets |
| 0x392b…352a | Yes | 70,670 | 12.8¢ | $2.3K | New11 settled bets |
| 0x0d6f…6292 | Yes | 69,509 | 16.4¢ | $2.26K | New1 settled bet |
| ahidfikl0x8e89…e735 | Yes | 68,149 | 11.7¢ | $2.21K | New1 settled bet |
| KAU70x45a3…23e6 | Yes | 65,293 | 15.0¢ | $2.12K | New5 settled bets |
| hud10xaf36…fb53 | Yes | 62,461 | 4.0¢ | $2.03K | New5 settled bets |
| xasd-4400xfa3b…6900 | Yes | 62,235 | 2.8¢ | $2.02K | New28 settled bets |
| wantedDOA0xe168…805d | Yes | 52,918 | 18.5¢ | $1.72K | New1 settled bet |
| Shark130x850d…aae1 | Yes | 52,168 | 19.0¢ | $1.7K | New34 settled bets |
| LarryXX0x5a4b…238b | Yes | 50,278 | 20.0¢ | $1.63K | New0 settled bets |
| 0xc591…7085 | Yes | 48,024 | 10.4¢ | $1.56K | New0 settled bets |
| UAPPolly0xdc8d…dd77 | Yes | 40,591 | 3.8¢ | $1.32K | New1 settled bet |
| 0x34f7…d6a6 | Yes | 35,272 | 18.6¢ | $1.15K | New0 settled bets |
| madfrog10xb9d5…0c43 | Yes | 35,034 | 17.9¢ | $1.14K | New0 settled bets |
| What.Could.Thing.70xf2d3…dcbd | Yes | 33,361 | 10.8¢ | $1.08K | New8 settled bets |
| Qomen0x8ce6…26bd | Yes | 29,768 | 13.1¢ | $967 | Positive+$5.57 per $100 · 107 bets |
| T00mbst0ne0x9db7…6cf1 | Yes | 29,183 | 9.9¢ | $948 | New0 settled bets |
| TheRealBuzzLightyear0x500b…da2a | Yes | 28,074 | 3.9¢ | $912 | New1 settled bet |
| EvilDemonSeed0x2a9b…1fe0 | Yes | 27,778 | 18.0¢ | $903 | New4 settled bets |
| Miinko10x256a…4b8f | Yes | 26,939 | 15.3¢ | $876 | New11 settled bets |
| 0x5e30…b3f6 | Yes | 26,299 | 14.0¢ | $855 | New3 settled bets |
| notmossad0x1476…99b7 | Yes | 25,320 | 24.8¢ | $823 | New3 settled bets |
| NewEarthTomorrow0xb1be…518e | Yes | 22,243 | 14.7¢ | $723 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x1f9f…5180 | Yes | 20,797 | 13.7¢ | $676 | New14 settled bets |
| wmy-0xa4c4…cfda | Yes | 20,549 | 9.9¢ | $668 | New14 settled bets |
| Lhsbcgeam0x3060…16cb | Yes | 20,000 | 19.0¢ | $650 | New4 settled bets |
| PoliTech0x2d4f…18d3 | Yes | 19,288 | 5.2¢ | $627 | New8 settled bets |
| Virgiledumont0x1a54…3158 | Yes | 19,194 | 16.0¢ | $624 | New9 settled bets |
| skel000x2a70…f3c5 | Yes | 19,000 | 10.0¢ | $618 | New3 settled bets |
| surfa0xae67…7cc8 | Yes | 17,778 | 5.2¢ | $578 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 191 bets |
| Extra0x0e3f…c42b | Yes | 17,593 | 4.0¢ | $572 | New26 settled bets |
| Zarchell0xb438…f5f1 | Yes | 16,361 | 12.8¢ | $532 | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 600 bets |
| Kar-9600x3331…eb45 | Yes | 15,979 | 3.5¢ | $519 | New6 settled bets |
| sautomated0x258f…b3a1 | Yes | 15,295 | 16.1¢ | $497 | New1 settled bet |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.