Market · 2 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | No | 1,029 | 84.2¢ | $891 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| 0xa894…53da | No | 421 | 95.0¢ | $365 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xa82c…dd71 | No | 301 | 90.8¢ | $261 | Losing−$11.94 per $100 · 154 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 146 | 85.5¢ | $127 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| ratehikes0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | 864 | 28.9¢ | $115 | New49 settled bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 132 | 89.6¢ | $115 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
8 more outcomes in this event.