Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0F620xccd8…f4de | No | 67,145 | 91.4¢ | $60.6K | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 4,444 bets |
| mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63 | No | 11,279 | 97.6¢ | $10.2K | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 40,453 bets |
| RipplesInAPond0x3c16…e71a | Yes | 70,324 | 2.4¢ | $6.86K | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 58,192 | 6.5¢ | $5.67K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,304 bets |
| drew.eth0x5b30…29a4 | Yes | 49,214 | 2.7¢ | $4.8K | — |
| MenacingTurtle0x0121…f722 | Yes | 41,737 | 9.2¢ | $4.07K | Positive+$3.24 per $100 · 848 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 29,877 | 1.5¢ | $2.91K | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| DavidShekel0x5452…d448 | Yes | 23,755 | 7.5¢ | $2.32K | Positive+$3.50 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| onlyinvegas0xc44d…935c | Yes | 22,489 | 8.6¢ | $2.19K | — |
| su2810x9106…afcb | No | 2,330 | 90.0¢ | $2.1K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 1,965 bets |
| PLB0xd5d8…e9a1 | Yes | 20,010 | 7.0¢ | $1.95K | — |
| LiquidatedDegen0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | 18,874 | 2.0¢ | $1.84K | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 4,541 bets |
| 0x53ec…df91 | Yes | 18,201 | 9.2¢ | $1.77K | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 1,981 bets |
| JBucketz0x99e0…5052 | Yes | 16,999 | 3.0¢ | $1.66K | — |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 15,578 | 5.1¢ | $1.52K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,532 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 13,613 | 4.5¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | No | 1,409 | 97.7¢ | $1.27K | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 409 bets |
| tl2000x2dc6…cf37 | No | 1,000 | 97.1¢ | $903 | New41 settled bets |
| Smolovka0xb0ed…3895 | No | 960 | 97.0¢ | $867 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 8,570 | 5.9¢ | $836 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| bitcoinhold0x4d74…e462 | No | 737 | 94.5¢ | $666 | — |
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | Yes | 5,323 | 6.2¢ | $519 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 17,553 bets |
| KioskJammer0x0e64…336d | Yes | 5,000 | 2.4¢ | $488 | Losing−$7.26 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| KarlXII0x9ccc…e7e8 | Yes | 5,000 | 4.4¢ | $488 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 4,452 | 3.8¢ | $434 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 4,212 | 3.3¢ | $411 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 413 | 92.6¢ | $372 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 3,766 | 6.5¢ | $367 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 3,443 | 3.8¢ | $336 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| ChuDebbieSharp0x8a80…c54c | Yes | 3,388 | 10.0¢ | $330 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 3,315 | 1.7¢ | $323 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| AnonSequitur0xd7ee…0e97 | No | 317 | 94.8¢ | $286 | — |
| lowbow0xcd18…5fe4 | No | 294 | 95.2¢ | $266 | — |
| 0xf475…8486 | Yes | 2,303 | 3.2¢ | $225 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 2,234 | 3.6¢ | $218 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 2,112 | 4.3¢ | $206 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| 0xe9f7…00f9 | Yes | 1,905 | 4.3¢ | $186 | — |
| K9O0xfce1…9ce7 | Yes | 1,804 | 0.9¢ | $176 | — |
| 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | 1,767 | 8.6¢ | $172 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 176 | 94.5¢ | $159 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| 2Week1Shower0x521b…55d1 | Yes | 1,591 | 7.9¢ | $155 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 1,569 | 8.8¢ | $153 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| Tanjiro.Kamado0x9d77…cf31 | Yes | 1,519 | 2.9¢ | $148 | — |
| 0xa82c…dd71 | Yes | 1,500 | 3.2¢ | $146 | Losing−$11.94 per $100 · 154 bets |
| 0x320e…b241 | Yes | 1,500 | 10.0¢ | $146 | — |
| huornent0xaf9f…2537 | No | 159 | 94.5¢ | $144 | New40 settled bets |
| Grinder7770x3613…59c6 | Yes | 1,450 | 2.0¢ | $141 | Losing−$7.56 per $100 · 974 bets |
| Bunter.Hiden0x860d…6071 | Yes | 1,200 | 6.9¢ | $117 | — |
| u289260xe682…a082 | No | 111 | 90.7¢ | $100 | Positive+$1.00 per $100 · 430 bets |
| DKK1850x5a61…1787 | Yes | 1,000 | 7.5¢ | $98 | — |
| Valerio240x3d80…0180 | Yes | 1,000 | 3.1¢ | $98 | — |
| 0x8640…dc29 | Yes | 990 | 1.2¢ | $97 | — |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 850 | 6.3¢ | $83 | — |
| omoi0i00xb3cf…0ebd | Yes | 831 | 7.1¢ | $81 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 4,894 bets |
| Boey0x0539…70f9 | Yes | 797 | 6.6¢ | $78 | Positive+$20.65 per $100 · 454 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 750 | 1.7¢ | $73 | — |
| xiaojidundun20260x7fca…24c1 | No | 81 | 92.3¢ | $73 | — |
| Hicapacity0x28b8…f683 | Yes | 708 | 1.3¢ | $69 | New72 settled bets |
| ContrarianLong0x36bf…2864 | Yes | 700 | 2.1¢ | $68 | Positive+$13.24 per $100 · 4,426 bets |
| TimSheHe0xf006…bb6c | No | 70 | 96.4¢ | $63 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 600 | 2.2¢ | $58 | — |
| EpicHawk75410x6cb6…18da | No | 53 | 97.8¢ | $48 | — |
| Karmak0x6bae…edf8 | No | 50 | 97.8¢ | $45 | — |
| AndrewGill626810xf143…f5d9 | No | 50 | 96.8¢ | $45 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 50 | 90.4¢ | $45 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| watchme1590x1c0c…9d02 | Yes | 453 | 2.3¢ | $44 | Losing−$3.64 per $100 · 580 bets |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $44 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,373 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 437 | 3.2¢ | $43 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| CalmLion77700xbea6…c801 | No | 47 | 97.8¢ | $42 | — |
| Webb-On-The-Go0x4e87…179b | No | 41 | 98.1¢ | $37 | — |
| BoldBear77410x1f87…6f94 | No | 37 | 97.8¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 260 bets |
| tox0750xcf8d…c149 | No | 28 | 89.8¢ | $25 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 646 bets |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 26 | 95.4¢ | $24 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| ChairmanFed0x8369…f584 | No | 25 | 97.5¢ | $23 | Losing−$23.92 per $100 · 794 bets |
| ijae0xf366…15ad | No | 22 | 97.4¢ | $20 | Losing−$15.13 per $100 · 281 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 194 | 10.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| KOLOLIDO0xfeef…2998 | No | 20 | 92.5¢ | $18 | — |
| prose01280xc78d…87eb | No | 19 | 90.5¢ | $17 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 16 | 90.9¢ | $14 | — |
| dfdeye0xe34f…02a6 | No | 11 | 98.5¢ | $10 | — |
| rames3s0xf153…c306 | No | 11 | 91.5¢ | $10 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 11 | 98.4¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | No | 10 | 97.6¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xf014…a7cd | No | 10 | 93.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Szpaku0xf9ea…0701 | No | 9 | 91.2¢ | $8 | — |
| n4k0xc82a…6d00 | No | 6 | 90.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Sony12340xcf69…f319 | No | 5 | 94.5¢ | $5 | New44 settled bets |
| abcxu0x0c8d…0c9f | No | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | New35 settled bets |
| JasonJasonJason0x10d5…6c67 | No | 5 | 93.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.65 per $100 · 437 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 9999pm99990xf1a2…f1b6 | No | 5 | 97.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 2,351 bets |
| andy-trading-bot10x4329…8867 | No | 4 | 91.5¢ | $4 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 38 | 2.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| TimPenis0x5430…fbbb | No | 3 | 93.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4161…6290 | No | 1 | 93.6¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.