Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0F620xccd8…f4de | No | 58,717 | 91.6¢ | $53K | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 4,444 bets |
| mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63 | No | 11,279 | 97.6¢ | $10.2K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RipplesInAPond0x3c16…e71a | Yes | 70,324 | 2.4¢ | $6.86K | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 58,192 | 6.5¢ | $5.67K | Losing−$17.29 per $100 · 7,293 bets |
| drew.eth0x5b30…29a4 | Yes | 49,214 | 2.7¢ | $4.8K | — |
| MenacingTurtle0x0121…f722 | Yes | 41,737 | 9.2¢ | $4.07K | Positive+$3.24 per $100 · 848 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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These 4 outcomes add up to 98.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.