Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?
Chance of Yes
▼ 10 pts this week
Money on this event
8 outcomes
Room to trade
4¢ between buy and sell
Bet this week
Ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?”.
§1This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026.
§2Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
§3This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026.
§4If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
§5The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:36 UTC. Not financial advice.