Market · 6 of 8 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 1,114 | 80.2¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 180 | 71.7¢ | $166 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 242 | 12.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 220 | 21.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 215 | 20.5¢ | $17 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 91.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 91.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $8 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 98 | 7.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| chaosj890xf085…02af | Yes | 81 | 11.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 5,508 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 67 | 8.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 60 | 29.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 48 | 9.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.88 per $100 · 202 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | Yes | 40 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 30 | 21.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 2 | 87.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| pbldr0x27e5…0b32 | Yes | 25 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 23 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 21.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 5 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | Yes | 4 | 8.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0150…3677 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.