Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Chance of Yes
▲ 1 pt this week
Money on this event
4 outcomes
Room to trade
0.9¢ between buy and sell
Bet this week
Ends
Jan 1
in 81 days
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?”.
§1This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026.
§2Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
§3This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period.
§4If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
§5The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:29 UTC. Not financial advice.