Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 19,026 | 92.6¢ | $17.8K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 5,407 | 92.8¢ | $5.07K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 2,261 | 92.6¢ | $2.12K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,630 | 93.0¢ | $1.53K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| k7X9mP2qW40x7994…c512 | No | 1,063 | 94.2¢ | $997 | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 1,000 | 91.1¢ | $937 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 9,456 | 7.1¢ | $591 | — |
| forever1230x8998…32be | No | 591 | 95.7¢ | $554 | New63 settled bets |
| seafoodcapital0xbb8b…4b1c | No | 400 | 90.1¢ | $375 | New19 settled bets |
| ggwellplayista0x35e1…f41d | No | 312 | 93.2¢ | $292 | — |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 300 | 93.6¢ | $281 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 297 | 92.2¢ | $278 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| rip0x5950…8c48 | Yes | 3,763 | 7.6¢ | $235 | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 647 bets |
| GTOrski10xb3af…84fc | No | 250 | 93.4¢ | $234 | New31 settled bets |
| chefradish0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | 3,496 | 6.9¢ | $218 | — |
| 0x5b9e…db8a | No | 228 | 92.8¢ | $214 | — |
| lemonmina0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | 220 | 95.2¢ | $206 | — |
| 0x2605…cb76 | No | 216 | 92.8¢ | $203 | — |
| funnyday0xd727…ecce | No | 200 | 93.8¢ | $188 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 11,345 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 194 | 93.2¢ | $182 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 150 | 92.1¢ | $141 | — |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No | 114 | 92.4¢ | $107 | — |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 111 | 94.0¢ | $104 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| CB-Compound0xbc6c…287c | No | 110 | 94.0¢ | $103 | — |
| data-sync0x21ad…10d2 | No | 108 | 92.7¢ | $101 | — |
| AdjunctBias0x27e5…fb20 | No | 106 | 90.9¢ | $99 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 1,500 | 8.7¢ | $94 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| crcl100020270x2470…22e5 | No | 100 | 95.5¢ | $94 | New39 settled bets |
| 0x4015…f4a9 | No | 100 | 95.3¢ | $94 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 1,353 | 8.2¢ | $85 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| molgeri0x4fa7…ad18 | No | 89 | 94.2¢ | $84 | — |
| Andycjs900xc5d1…dabd | Yes | 1,297 | 6.8¢ | $81 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 1,248 | 7.5¢ | $78 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| OverlookHotel0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | 1,205 | 9.8¢ | $75 | Losing−$23.70 per $100 · 297 bets |
| APaintnobroke0x5824…69a9 | No | 80 | 87.1¢ | $75 | — |
| bssource0x5653…e1ad | Yes | 1,125 | 7.7¢ | $70 | — |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | Yes | 1,109 | 7.5¢ | $69 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| 0xd509…fc70 | Yes | 1,076 | 9.8¢ | $67 | — |
| shmakgov0x94e1…f851 | No | 65 | 94.0¢ | $61 | — |
| bobj308880xfd5b…8882 | Yes | 938 | 5.6¢ | $59 | — |
| dobb0xbafc…78d0 | No | 50 | 91.1¢ | $47 | — |
| abcmart0x0155…aa3e | Yes | 643 | 8.1¢ | $40 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 504 | 6.8¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0xd27b…9947 | Yes | 470 | 6.6¢ | $29 | — |
| ahourse0x303e…c54a | No | 30 | 94.3¢ | $28 | New31 settled bets |
| johnjdj0x8bc0…47e5 | No | 30 | 93.5¢ | $28 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 29 | 92.3¢ | $27 | — |
| manthans0x4771…3bf9 | Yes | 419 | 5.0¢ | $26 | — |
| JJoyce19040xe298…9ef4 | Yes | 379 | 7.3¢ | $24 | — |
| murkot0x11c2…c07e | Yes | 374 | 8.4¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x7da9…5741 | Yes | 353 | 8.3¢ | $22 | — |
| Abcde123450x5d92…d298 | Yes | 321 | 8.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xfecc…7551 | Yes | 320 | 7.8¢ | $20 | — |
| PYEQUANT0x95a8…1c69 | No | 21 | 94.4¢ | $20 | — |
| StanGrossman0xaf35…9a45 | Yes | 312 | 6.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$59.71 per $100 · 746 bets |
| rocky420230xd035…f165 | Yes | 299 | 6.9¢ | $19 | — |
| wind20050x5e7f…7bfd | Yes | 285 | 6.5¢ | $18 | — |
| degenwifhat0x22ae…e3f3 | Yes | 279 | 11.7¢ | $17 | New30 settled bets |
| hfse4ty0xfbeb…dbd0 | No | 16 | 96.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 543rrte40x9532…6977 | No | 15 | 97.1¢ | $14 | — |
| telloier0x795b…623a | Yes | 210 | 4.7¢ | $13 | New9 settled bets |
| sf4w0xdedf…91a2 | No | 12 | 97.1¢ | $11 | — |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | Yes | 163 | 7.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | 161 | 8.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| postmeta0x2987…8512 | No | 11 | 94.4¢ | $10 | — |
| moneybagsmannion0x7984…638a | Yes | 150 | 6.3¢ | $9 | — |
| tiredShip0x2aae…a80c | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 675765460x462e…c819 | No | 10 | 95.2¢ | $9 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 83.3¢ | $9 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 10 | 91.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 235345g0xec45…e5d9 | No | 10 | 97.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | 131 | 8.8¢ | $8 | — |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | Yes | 120 | 7.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x933a…2b1f | No | 8 | 95.2¢ | $7 | — |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 108 | 8.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xbbf6…7de7 | Yes | 107 | 8.2¢ | $7 | — |
| ssrrtty780x5766…e1db | No | 7 | 97.2¢ | $7 | — |
| sd3ewfe0xa8f7…621c | No | 7 | 95.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Kenbu0x4563…ddd1 | Yes | 102 | 7.2¢ | $6 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| DW10x8041…fc83 | Yes | 100 | 7.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $6 | — |
| IN7EL0x7763…2242 | Yes | 99 | 9.3¢ | $6 | — |
| gtrht5rht0x5fa3…03a7 | No | 7 | 95.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Shannonws0x17dd…bf30 | No | 6 | 93.7¢ | $6 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 93 | 11.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 566jjuu0x04ca…7d2e | No | 6 | 97.1¢ | $6 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 86 | 5.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| apollob94x0x8766…0ef8 | Yes | 80 | 7.5¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 61 | 7.3¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xe9c1…e713 | Yes | 58 | 8.6¢ | $4 | — |
| uyk7k0x0023…3073 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $3 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 50 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 7.5¢ | $3 | — |
| HospitalHippo0xaafe…6edb | Yes | 50 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 42 | 5.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 0x9b85…89d1 | Yes | 33 | 9.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Davidoff220xe8f4…e241 | Yes | 30 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.