Market · 3 of 16 outcomes
Will Stephen Vogt win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 185 | 97.1¢ | $184 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 32 | 94.1¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| valmier0x3e6e…99ea | No | 6 | 96.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 363 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| lastchanceu0x88fa…7792 | Yes | 337 | 7.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 135 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 117 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 83 | 4.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 77 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 51 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 45 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x621a…c6b1 | Yes | 40 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 30 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 27 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,279 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 16 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 12 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| coldhot0x6854…67d0 | Yes | 4 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 2 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 98.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 97.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.