Market · 4 of 16 outcomes
Will Stephen Vogt win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 185 | 97.1¢ | $183 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 32 | 94.1¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| valmier0x3e6e…99ea | No | 6 | 96.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 363 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| lastchanceu0x88fa…7792 | Yes | 337 | 7.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 102.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.