Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 190 | 72.4¢ | $132 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,843 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 233 | 28.5¢ | $71 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 206 | 25.0¢ | $63 | Proven+$7.84 per $100 · 1,852 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 60 | 75.0¢ | $42 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| LieutenantMiloMinderbinder0x66d6…50c7 | No | 40 | 68.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 470 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 71.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | No | 20 | 59.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 14 | 66.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 30 | 27.0¢ | $9 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 12 | 74.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 579 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | No | 12 | 74.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 745 bets |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | No | 11 | 73.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 4-testfollower-hm70xe694…7e7c | No | 10 | 73.9¢ | $7 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 6 | 36.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| fredfredfredfredman0x67a8…7493 | Yes | 1 | 40.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.