Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 190 | 72.4¢ | $126 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 233 | 28.1¢ | $79 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 206 | 25.0¢ | $70 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 60 | 75.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| LieutenantMiloMinderbinder0x66d6…50c7 | No | 40 | 68.0¢ | $26 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 470 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 71.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
These 5 outcomes add up to 105.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.