Market · 32 of 36 outcomes
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 00:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 379 | 93.7¢ | $367 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| Tonnic0x150c…1c8d | No | 277 | 95.5¢ | $268 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 218 | 97.4¢ | $211 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 100 | 96.9¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,380 bets |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | 100 | 96.4¢ | $97 | New0 settled bets |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 16 | 92.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 13 | 92.3¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 336 | 5.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 285 | 3.3¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 3.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | No | 6 | 98.8¢ | $6 | — |
| messirontig0x8c46…7eab | No | 6 | 99.7¢ | $6 | — |
| lotdunaf0x108a…c378 | No | 6 | 99.7¢ | $6 | — |
| moneyworksbetter0xf7b3…4d47 | No | 6 | 80.1¢ | $6 | — |
| pxb96v3clwti0xedd8…b939 | No | 6 | 100.4¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 115 | 4.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 96 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 52 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| moerz8swipuo0xfc03…4a07 | No | 1 | 100.4¢ | $1 | — |
| YesManLucky380x91e2…3c51 | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 23 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xde2e…d234 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| justmeandme0x17f4…9d7f | Yes | 9 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,158 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 93.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play